Missouri 62026 HOUSE POLLS
2026 Missouri 6th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Missouri 6th District House forecast currently gives Republican Chris Stigall a 99.6% chance of defeating Democrat Josh Smead. Pollsmax projects Stigall to receive 64.3% of the vote compared with 35.8% for Smead, a projected Republican margin of 28.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Missouri 6th District House election features Democrat Josh Smead and Republican Chris Stigall. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Missouri's 6th congressional district by 17.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MO-6
- Democratic candidate
- Josh Smead
- Republican candidate
- Chris Stigall
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 35.8% D / 64.3% R
- Projected margin
- R +28.5
- Forecast odds
- 0.4% D / 99.6% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
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- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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