Missouri 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Missouri 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Missouri 7th District House forecast currently gives Republican Eric Burlison a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Missi Hesketh. Pollsmax projects Burlison to receive 75.3% of the vote compared with 24.7% for Hesketh, a projected Republican margin of 50.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Missouri 7th District House election features Democrat Missi Hesketh and Republican Eric Burlison. Incumbent Representative Eric Burlison is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Missouri's 7th congressional district by 24.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.