Missouri7th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Missouri 7th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Missouri's 7th congressional district House election between Democrat Missi Hesketh and Republican Eric Burlison. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Missouri 7th District House election features Democrat Missi Hesketh and Republican Eric Burlison. Incumbent Representative Eric Burlison is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Missouri's 7th congressional district by 24.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Missouri conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MO-7
- Democratic candidate
- Missi Hesketh
- Republican candidate
- Eric Burlison
- Incumbent / open seat
- Eric Burlison
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 30.3% D / 69.8% R
- Projected margin
- R +39.5
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —