Missouri 82026 HOUSE POLLS
2026 Missouri 8th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Missouri 8th District House forecast currently gives Republican Jason Smith a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Christopher Riechard. Pollsmax projects Smith to receive 72.6% of the vote compared with 27.5% for Riechard, a projected Republican margin of 45.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Missouri 8th District House election features Democrat Christopher Riechard and Republican Jason Smith. Incumbent Representative Jason Smith is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Missouri's 8th congressional district by 25.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MO-8
- Democratic candidate
- Christopher Riechard
- Republican candidate
- Jason Smith
- Incumbent / open seat
- Jason Smith
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 27.5% D / 72.6% R
- Projected margin
- R +45.1
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on October 1, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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