Denise Powell, 2026 Nebraska 2nd District House Democratic candidate
Denise Powell
DEMOCRATIC
Candidate Training Group Co-Founder
Nebraska state flag

Nebraska2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Brinker Harding, 2026 Nebraska 2nd District House Republican candidate
Brinker Harding
REPUBLICAN
Omaha City Council
2017 – Present

2026 Nebraska 2nd District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Nebraska's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Denise Powell and Republican Brinker Harding. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Nebraska 2nd District House election features Democrat Denise Powell and Republican Brinker Harding. The seat is open in 2026, giving both parties a chance to win the district's representation in the lower chamber of Congress. In 2024, Donald Trump won Nebraska's 2nd congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as lean Democratic in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Nebraska seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Nebraska's 2nd District will be important in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
NE-2
Democratic candidate
Denise Powell
Republican candidate
Brinker Harding
Incumbent / open seat
Open seat
Forecast rating
Lean D
Projected vote
51.4% D / 48.7% R
Projected margin
D +2.7
Forecast odds
70.3% D / 29.7% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll