Nebraska 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Nebraska 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Nebraska 2nd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Denise Powell a 70.6% chance of defeating Republican Brinker Harding. Pollsmax projects Powell to receive 51.4% of the vote compared with 48.6% for Harding, a projected Democratic margin of 2.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Lean Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Nebraska 2nd District House election features Democrat Denise Powell and Republican Brinker Harding. The seat is open in 2026, giving both parties a chance to win the district's representation in the lower chamber of Congress. In 2024, Donald Trump won Nebraska's 2nd congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as lean Democratic in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Nebraska seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Nebraska's 2nd District will be important in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.