

Nebraska 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Nebraska 2nd District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Nebraska 2nd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Denise Powell a 86.7% chance of defeating Republican Brinker Harding. Pollsmax projects Powell to receive 55% of the vote compared with 45.1% for Harding, a projected Democratic margin of 9.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Nebraska 2nd District House election features Democrat Denise Powell and Republican Brinker Harding. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Nebraska's 2nd congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NE-2
- Democratic candidate
- Denise Powell
- Republican candidate
- Brinker Harding
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Likely D
- Projected vote
- 55.0% D / 45.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +9.9
- Forecast odds
- 86.7% D / 13.3% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on November 3, 2026
- Polling average
- 48.5% D / 39.3% R
- Polling average margin
- D +9.1
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on October 5, 2026
- Polls included
- 2
- Latest poll
- National Public Affairs (R) — October 5, 2026