Becky Stille
DEMOCRATIC
Agriculture Processing Quality Manager
Nebraska3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Adrian Smith*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-NE)
2007 – Present
2026 Nebraska 3rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Nebraska's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Becky Stille and Republican Adrian Smith. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Nebraska 3rd District House election features Democrat Becky Stille and Republican Adrian Smith. Incumbent Representative Adrian Smith is seeking reelection to a eleventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Nebraska's 3rd congressional district by 28.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NE-3
- Democratic candidate
- Becky Stille
- Republican candidate
- Adrian Smith
- Incumbent / open seat
- Adrian Smith
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 30.1% D / 70.0% R
- Projected margin
- R +39.9
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —