Nebraska 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Nebraska 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Nebraska 3rd District House forecast currently gives Republican Adrian Smith a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Becky Stille. Pollsmax projects Smith to receive 76.1% of the vote compared with 23.9% for Stille, a projected Republican margin of 52.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Nebraska 3rd District House election features Democrat Becky Stille and Republican Adrian Smith. Incumbent Representative Adrian Smith is seeking reelection to a eleventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Nebraska's 3rd congressional district by 28.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.