

Nevada 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Nevada 2nd District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Nevada 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican David Flippo a 86.9% chance of defeating Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson. Pollsmax projects Flippo to receive 54.9% of the vote compared with 45.1% for Benitez-Thompson, a projected Republican margin of 9.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Nevada 2nd District House election features Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson and Republican David Flippo. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Nevada's 2nd congressional district by 8.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NV-2
- Democratic candidate
- Teresa Benitez-Thompson
- Republican candidate
- David Flippo
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 45.1% D / 54.9% R
- Projected margin
- R +9.8
- Forecast odds
- 13.1% D / 86.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- 38.8% D / 41.6% R
- Polling average margin
- R +2.8
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 3, 2026
- Polls included
- 3
- Latest poll
- GBAO (D) — September 3, 2026