Teresa Benitez-Thompson, 2026 Nevada 2nd District House Democratic candidate
Teresa Benitez-Thompson
DEMOCRATIC
Chief of Staff to Nevada Attorney General
Nevada state flag

Nevada 22026 HOUSE POLLS

David Flippo, 2026 Nevada 2nd District House Republican candidate
David Flippo
REPUBLICAN
Financial Advisor

2026 Nevada 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Nevada 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican David Flippo a 86.9% chance of defeating Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson. Pollsmax projects Flippo to receive 54.9% of the vote compared with 45.1% for Benitez-Thompson, a projected Republican margin of 9.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Nevada 2nd District House election features Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson and Republican David Flippo. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Nevada's 2nd congressional district by 8.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
NV-2
Democratic candidate
Teresa Benitez-Thompson
Republican candidate
David Flippo
Incumbent / open seat
Open seat
Forecast rating
Likely R
Projected vote
45.1% D / 54.9% R
Projected margin
R +9.8
Forecast odds
13.1% D / 86.9% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
Polling average
38.8% D / 41.6% R
Polling average margin
R +2.8
Polling last updated
12:00 AM on September 3, 2026
Polls included
3
Latest poll
GBAO (D) — September 3, 2026