Nevada 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Nevada 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Nevada 3rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Susie Lee a 73.5% chance of defeating Republican Martin O'Donnell. Pollsmax projects Lee to receive 51.6% of the vote compared with 48.4% for O'Donnell, a projected Democratic margin of 3.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Lean Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Nevada 3rd District House election features Democrat Susie Lee and Republican Martin O'Donnell. Incumbent Representative Susie Lee is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Nevada's 3rd congressional district by 3.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as lean Democratic in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Nevada seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Nevada's 3rd District will be important in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.