Nevada 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Nevada 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Nevada 3rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Susie Lee a 87.2% chance of defeating Republican Martin O'Donnell. Pollsmax projects Lee to receive 55% of the vote compared with 45% for O'Donnell, a projected Democratic margin of 10 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Nevada 3rd District House election features Democrat Susie Lee and Republican Martin O'Donnell. Incumbent Representative Susie Lee is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Nevada's 3rd congressional district by 3.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.