Nevada 42026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Nevada 4th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Nevada 4th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Steven Horsford a 88.6% chance of defeating Republican Cody Whipple. Pollsmax projects Horsford to receive 55.3% of the vote compared with 44.8% for Whipple, a projected Democratic margin of 10.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Nevada 4th District House election features Democrat Steven Horsford and Republican Cody Whipple. Incumbent Representative Steven Horsford is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Nevada's 4th congressional district by 1.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.