

New Hampshire 12026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New Hampshire 1st District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 New Hampshire 1st District House forecast currently gives Democrat Stefany Shaheen a 88.4% chance of defeating Republican Anthony DiLorenzo. Pollsmax projects Shaheen to receive 55.1% of the vote compared with 44.9% for DiLorenzo, a projected Democratic margin of 10.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 New Hampshire 1st District House election features Democrat Stefany Shaheen and Republican Anthony DiLorenzo. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won New Hampshire's 1st congressional district by 3.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NH-1
- Democratic candidate
- Stefany Shaheen
- Republican candidate
- Anthony DiLorenzo
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Likely D
- Projected vote
- 55.1% D / 44.9% R
- Projected margin
- D +10.2
- Forecast odds
- 88.4% D / 11.6% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- 56.0% D / 35.0% R
- Polling average margin
- D +21.0
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 21, 2026
- Polls included
- 1
- Latest poll
- University of New Hampshire — September 21, 2026