Donald Norcross*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NJ)
2014 – Present
New Jersey1st District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Damon Galdo
REPUBLICAN
Construction Worker
2026 New Jersey 1st District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New Jersey's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat Donald Norcross and Republican Damon Galdo. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New Jersey 1st District House election features Democrat Donald Norcross and Republican Damon Galdo. Incumbent Representative Donald Norcross is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New Jersey's 1st congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NJ-1
- Democratic candidate
- Donald Norcross
- Republican candidate
- Damon Galdo
- Incumbent / open seat
- Donald Norcross
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 62.8% D / 37.3% R
- Projected margin
- D +25.5
- Forecast odds
- 99.3% D / 0.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —