New Jersey 12026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New Jersey 1st District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New Jersey 1st District House forecast currently gives Democrat Donald Norcross a 99.4% chance of defeating Republican Damon Galdo. Pollsmax projects Norcross to receive 62.9% of the vote compared with 37.1% for Galdo, a projected Democratic margin of 25.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New Jersey 1st District House election features Democrat Donald Norcross and Republican Damon Galdo. Incumbent Representative Donald Norcross is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New Jersey's 1st congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.