New Jersey 102026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New Jersey 10th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New Jersey 10th District House forecast currently gives Democrat LaMonica McIver a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Carmen Bucco. Pollsmax projects McIver to receive 78.1% of the vote compared with 21.9% for Bucco, a projected Democratic margin of 56.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New Jersey 10th District House election features Democrat LaMonica McIver and Republican Carmen Bucco. Incumbent Representative LaMonica McIver is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New Jersey's 10th congressional district by 34.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.