
LaMonica McIver*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NJ)
2024 – Present

New Jersey10th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Carmen Bucco
REPUBLICAN
2026 New Jersey 10th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New Jersey's 10th congressional district House election between Democrat LaMonica McIver and Republican Carmen Bucco. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New Jersey 10th District House election features Democrat LaMonica McIver and Republican Carmen Bucco. Incumbent Representative LaMonica McIver is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New Jersey's 10th congressional district by 34.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NJ-10
- Democratic candidate
- LaMonica McIver
- Republican candidate
- Carmen Bucco
- Incumbent / open seat
- LaMonica McIver
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.1% D / 30.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.1
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —