Analilia Mejia, 2026 New Jersey 11th District House Democratic candidate
Analilia Mejia*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NJ)
2026 – Present
New Jersey state flag

New Jersey11th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Joe Hathaway, 2026 New Jersey 11th District House Republican candidate
Joe Hathaway
REPUBLICAN
Randolph Township Council Member

2026 New Jersey 11th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for New Jersey's 11th congressional district House election between Democrat Analilia Mejia and Republican Joe Hathaway. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 New Jersey 11th District House election features Democrat Analilia Mejia and Republican Joe Hathaway. Incumbent Representative Analilia Mejia is seeking reelection to a first term. In 2024, Donald Trump won New Jersey's 11th congressional district by 4.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
NJ-11
Democratic candidate
Analilia Mejia
Republican candidate
Joe Hathaway
Incumbent / open seat
Analilia Mejia
Forecast rating
Likely D
Projected vote
55.1% D / 45.0% R
Projected margin
D +10.1
Forecast odds
87.9% D / 12.1% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll