
Analilia Mejia*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NJ)
2026 – Present

New Jersey11th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Joe Hathaway
REPUBLICAN
Randolph Township Council Member
2026 New Jersey 11th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New Jersey's 11th congressional district House election between Democrat Analilia Mejia and Republican Joe Hathaway. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New Jersey 11th District House election features Democrat Analilia Mejia and Republican Joe Hathaway. Incumbent Representative Analilia Mejia is seeking reelection to a first term. In 2024, Donald Trump won New Jersey's 11th congressional district by 4.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NJ-11
- Democratic candidate
- Analilia Mejia
- Republican candidate
- Joe Hathaway
- Incumbent / open seat
- Analilia Mejia
- Forecast rating
- Likely D
- Projected vote
- 55.1% D / 45.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +10.1
- Forecast odds
- 87.9% D / 12.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —