New Jersey 112026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New Jersey 11th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New Jersey 11th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Analilia Mejia a 87.6% chance of defeating Republican Joe Hathaway. Pollsmax projects Mejia to receive 55% of the vote compared with 45% for Hathaway, a projected Democratic margin of 10 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New Jersey 11th District House election features Democrat Analilia Mejia and Republican Joe Hathaway. Incumbent Representative Analilia Mejia is seeking reelection to a first term. In 2024, Donald Trump won New Jersey's 11th congressional district by 4.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.