New Jersey 122026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New Jersey 12th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New Jersey 12th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Adam Hamawy a 99.8% chance of defeating Republican Gregg Mele. Pollsmax projects Hamawy to receive 64.5% of the vote compared with 35.5% for Mele, a projected Democratic margin of 29 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New Jersey 12th District House election features Democrat Adam Hamawy and Republican Gregg Mele. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New Jersey's 12th congressional district by 14.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.