Adam Hamawy
DEMOCRATIC
Surgeon
New Jersey12th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Gregg Mele
REPUBLICAN
Attorney
2026 New Jersey 12th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New Jersey's 12th congressional district House election between Democrat Adam Hamawy and Republican Gregg Mele. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New Jersey 12th District House election features Democrat Adam Hamawy and Republican Gregg Mele. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New Jersey's 12th congressional district by 14.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NJ-12
- Democratic candidate
- Adam Hamawy
- Republican candidate
- Gregg Mele
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 64.5% D / 35.6% R
- Projected margin
- D +28.9
- Forecast odds
- 99.8% D / 0.2% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —