

New Jersey 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New Jersey 2nd District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 New Jersey 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican Jeff Van Drew a 85.7% chance of defeating Democrat Zack Mullock. Pollsmax projects Drew to receive 54.7% of the vote compared with 45.3% for Mullock, a projected Republican margin of 9.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 New Jersey 2nd District House election features Democrat Zack Mullock and Republican Jeff Van Drew. Incumbent Representative Jeff Van Drew is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won New Jersey's 2nd congressional district by 2.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NJ-2
- Democratic candidate
- Zack Mullock
- Republican candidate
- Jeff Van Drew
- Incumbent / open seat
- Jeff Van Drew
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 45.3% D / 54.7% R
- Projected margin
- R +9.4
- Forecast odds
- 14.3% D / 85.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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