New Jersey 52026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New Jersey 5th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New Jersey 5th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Josh Gottheimer a 95.6% chance of defeating Republican Sean Kirrane. Pollsmax projects Gottheimer to receive 57.6% of the vote compared with 42.5% for Kirrane, a projected Democratic margin of 15.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New Jersey 5th District House election features Democrat Josh Gottheimer and Republican Sean Kirrane. Incumbent Representative Josh Gottheimer is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won New Jersey's 5th congressional district by 4.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.