Josh Gottheimer*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NJ)
2017 – Present
New Jersey5th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Sean Kirrane
REPUBLICAN
Corporate Consultant
2026 New Jersey 5th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New Jersey's 5th congressional district House election between Democrat Josh Gottheimer and Republican Sean Kirrane. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New Jersey 5th District House election features Democrat Josh Gottheimer and Republican Sean Kirrane. Incumbent Representative Josh Gottheimer is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won New Jersey's 5th congressional district by 4.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NJ-5
- Democratic candidate
- Josh Gottheimer
- Republican candidate
- Sean Kirrane
- Incumbent / open seat
- Josh Gottheimer
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 57.6% D / 42.5% R
- Projected margin
- D +15.1
- Forecast odds
- 95.4% D / 4.6% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —