New Jersey 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New Jersey 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New Jersey 7th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Rebecca Bennett a 64.4% chance of defeating Republican Thomas Kean Jr. Pollsmax projects Bennett to receive 50.5% of the vote compared with 49.5% for Kean, a projected Democratic margin of 1 percentage point. The model currently rates the race as Tilt Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New Jersey 7th District House election features Democrat Rebecca Bennett and Republican Thomas Kean Jr. Incumbent Representative Thomas Kean Jr is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won New Jersey's 7th congressional district by 4.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as tilt Democratic in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive New Jersey seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. New Jersey's 7th District will be critical in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.