

New Jersey7th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 New Jersey 7th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New Jersey's 7th congressional district House election between Democrat Rebecca Bennett and Republican Thomas Kean Jr. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New Jersey 7th District House election features Democrat Rebecca Bennett and Republican Thomas Kean Jr. Incumbent Representative Thomas Kean Jr is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won New Jersey's 7th congressional district by 4.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as tilt Democratic in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive New Jersey seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. New Jersey's 7th District will be critical in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NJ-7
- Democratic candidate
- Rebecca Bennett
- Republican candidate
- Thomas Kean Jr
- Incumbent / open seat
- Thomas Kean Jr
- Forecast rating
- Tilt D
- Projected vote
- 50.3% D / 49.8% R
- Projected margin
- D +0.5
- Forecast odds
- 58.1% D / 41.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —