

New Jersey 82026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New Jersey 8th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 New Jersey 8th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Rob Menendez a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Aristotle Eliopoulos. Pollsmax projects Menendez to receive 65% of the vote compared with 35.1% for Eliopoulos, a projected Democratic margin of 29.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 New Jersey 8th District House election features Democrat Rob Menendez and Republican Aristotle Eliopoulos. Incumbent Representative Rob Menendez is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New Jersey's 8th congressional district by 25.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NJ-8
- Democratic candidate
- Rob Menendez
- Republican candidate
- Aristotle Eliopoulos
- Incumbent / open seat
- Rob Menendez
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 65.0% D / 35.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +29.9
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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