Gabe Vasquez*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NM)
2023 – Present
New Mexico2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Greg Cunningham
REPUBLICAN
Police Officer
2026 New Mexico 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New Mexico's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Gabe Vasquez and Republican Greg Cunningham. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New Mexico 2nd District House election features Democrat Gabe Vasquez and Republican Greg Cunningham. Incumbent Representative Gabe Vasquez is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won New Mexico's 2nd congressional district by 7.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NM-2
- Democratic candidate
- Gabe Vasquez
- Republican candidate
- Greg Cunningham
- Incumbent / open seat
- Gabe Vasquez
- Forecast rating
- Likely D
- Projected vote
- 54.4% D / 45.7% R
- Projected margin
- D +8.7
- Forecast odds
- 85.3% D / 14.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —