New Mexico 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New Mexico 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New Mexico 2nd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Gabe Vasquez a 84.4% chance of defeating Republican Greg Cunningham. Pollsmax projects Vasquez to receive 54.2% of the vote compared with 45.8% for Cunningham, a projected Democratic margin of 8.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New Mexico 2nd District House election features Democrat Gabe Vasquez and Republican Greg Cunningham. Incumbent Representative Gabe Vasquez is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won New Mexico's 2nd congressional district by 7.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.