New Mexico 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New Mexico 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New Mexico 3rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Teresa Leger Fernández a 96.8% chance of defeating Republican Martin Zamora. Pollsmax projects Fernández to receive 59% of the vote compared with 41% for Zamora, a projected Democratic margin of 18 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New Mexico 3rd District House election features Democrat Teresa Leger Fernández and Republican Martin Zamora. Incumbent Representative Teresa Leger Fernández is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New Mexico's 3rd congressional district by 6.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.