Teresa Leger Fernández*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NM)
2021 – Present
New Mexico3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Martin Zamora
REPUBLICAN
New Mexico State House (R)
2019 – Present
2026 New Mexico 3rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New Mexico's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Teresa Leger Fernández and Republican Martin Zamora. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New Mexico 3rd District House election features Democrat Teresa Leger Fernández and Republican Martin Zamora. Incumbent Representative Teresa Leger Fernández is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New Mexico's 3rd congressional district by 6.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NM-3
- Democratic candidate
- Teresa Leger Fernández
- Republican candidate
- Martin Zamora
- Incumbent / open seat
- Teresa Leger Fernández
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 59.0% D / 41.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +17.9
- Forecast odds
- 96.6% D / 3.4% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —