Brad Lander
DEMOCRATIC
New York City Comptroller
2022 – 2025
New York10th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Jennifer Moore
REPUBLICAN
Activist
2026 New York 10th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New York's 10th congressional district House election between Democrat Brad Lander and Republican Jennifer Moore. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New York 10th District House election features Democrat Brad Lander and Republican Jennifer Moore. Incumbent Representative Dan Goldman is seeking reelection. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 10th congressional district by 24.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NY-10
- Democratic candidate
- Brad Lander
- Republican candidate
- Jennifer Moore
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.0% D / 30.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.0
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —