New York 102026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New York 10th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New York 10th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Brad Lander a 99.6% chance of defeating Republican Jennifer Moore. Pollsmax projects Lander to receive 63.3% of the vote compared with 36.8% for Moore, a projected Democratic margin of 26.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New York 10th District House election features Democrat Brad Lander and Republican Jennifer Moore. Incumbent Representative Dan Goldman is seeking reelection. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 10th congressional district by 24.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.