New York 142026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New York 14th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New York 14th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Diamant Hysenaj. Pollsmax projects Ocasio-Cortez to receive 77.1% of the vote compared with 22.9% for Hysenaj, a projected Democratic margin of 54.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New York 14th District House election features Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Republican Diamant Hysenaj. Incumbent Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 14th congressional district by 27.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.