New York 152026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New York 15th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New York 15th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Ritchie Torres a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Stylo Sapaskis. Pollsmax projects Torres to receive 79.3% of the vote compared with 20.7% for Sapaskis, a projected Democratic margin of 58.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New York 15th District House election features Democrat Ritchie Torres and Republican Stylo Sapaskis. Incumbent Representative Ritchie Torres is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 15th congressional district by 42.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.