Ritchie Torres*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NY)
2021 – Present
New York15th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Stylo Sapaskis
REPUBLICAN
2026 New York 15th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New York's 15th congressional district House election between Democrat Ritchie Torres and Republican Stylo Sapaskis. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New York 15th District House election features Democrat Ritchie Torres and Republican Stylo Sapaskis. Incumbent Representative Ritchie Torres is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 15th congressional district by 42.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NY-15
- Democratic candidate
- Ritchie Torres
- Republican candidate
- Stylo Sapaskis
- Incumbent / open seat
- Ritchie Torres
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 69.9% D / 30.2% R
- Projected margin
- D +39.7
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —