George Latimer, 2026 New York 16th District House Democratic candidate
George Latimer*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NY)
2025 – Present
New York state flag

New York16th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Joseph Cinquemani, 2026 New York 16th District House Republican candidate
Joseph Cinquemani
REPUBLICAN
Attorney

2026 New York 16th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for New York's 16th congressional district House election between Democrat George Latimer and Republican Joseph Cinquemani. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 New York 16th District House election features Democrat George Latimer and Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Incumbent Representative George Latimer is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 16th congressional district by 22.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
NY-16
Democratic candidate
George Latimer
Republican candidate
Joseph Cinquemani
Incumbent / open seat
George Latimer
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
70.0% D / 30.0% R
Projected margin
D +40.0
Forecast odds
99.9% D / 0.1% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll