New York 162026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New York 16th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New York 16th District House forecast currently gives Democrat George Latimer a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Pollsmax projects Latimer to receive 76.2% of the vote compared with 23.9% for Cinquemani, a projected Democratic margin of 52.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New York 16th District House election features Democrat George Latimer and Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Incumbent Representative George Latimer is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 16th congressional district by 22.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.