Pat Ryan*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NY)
2022 – Present
New York18th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Jacqueline Auringer
REPUBLICAN
Businesswoman
2026 New York 18th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New York's 18th congressional district House election between Democrat Pat Ryan and Republican Jacqueline Auringer. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New York 18th District House election features Democrat Pat Ryan and Republican Jacqueline Auringer. Incumbent Representative Pat Ryan is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won New York's 18th congressional district by 2.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NY-18
- Democratic candidate
- Pat Ryan
- Republican candidate
- Jacqueline Auringer
- Incumbent / open seat
- Pat Ryan
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 57.6% D / 42.4% R
- Projected margin
- D +15.2
- Forecast odds
- 95.3% D / 4.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —