New York21st District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 New York 21st District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for New York's 21st congressional district House election between Democrat Blake Gendebien and Republican Anthony Constantino. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 New York 21st District House election features Democrat Blake Gendebien and Republican Anthony Constantino. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won New York's 21st congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026.