Joseph Morelle*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NY)
2018 – Present
New York25th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Virginia McIntyre
REPUBLICAN
Monroe County Legislator
2026 New York 25th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New York's 25th congressional district House election between Democrat Joseph Morelle and Republican Virginia McIntyre. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New York 25th District House election features Democrat Joseph Morelle and Republican Virginia McIntyre. Incumbent Representative Joseph Morelle is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 25th congressional district by 6.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NY-25
- Democratic candidate
- Joseph Morelle
- Republican candidate
- Virginia McIntyre
- Incumbent / open seat
- Joseph Morelle
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 61.9% D / 38.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +23.8
- Forecast odds
- 99.3% D / 0.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —