New York 262026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New York 26th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New York 26th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Tim Kennedy a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Dennis Hannon. Pollsmax projects Kennedy to receive 66.5% of the vote compared with 33.6% for Hannon, a projected Democratic margin of 32.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New York 26th District House election features Democrat Tim Kennedy and Republican Dennis Hannon. Incumbent Representative Tim Kennedy is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 26th congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.