Tim Kennedy*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NY)
2024 – Present
New York26th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Dennis Hannon
REPUBLICAN
Construction Worker
2026 New York 26th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New York's 26th congressional district House election between Democrat Tim Kennedy and Republican Dennis Hannon. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New York 26th District House election features Democrat Tim Kennedy and Republican Dennis Hannon. Incumbent Representative Tim Kennedy is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 26th congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NY-26
- Democratic candidate
- Tim Kennedy
- Republican candidate
- Dennis Hannon
- Incumbent / open seat
- Tim Kennedy
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 66.5% D / 33.5% R
- Projected margin
- D +33.0
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —