New York5th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 New York 5th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for New York's 5th congressional district House election between Democrat Gregory Meeks and Republican George Marsh. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 New York 5th District House election features Democrat Gregory Meeks and Republican George Marsh. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks is seeking reelection to a fifteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 5th congressional district by 35.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.