New York 52026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New York 5th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New York 5th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Gregory Meeks a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican George Marsh. Pollsmax projects Meeks to receive 78.2% of the vote compared with 21.8% for Marsh, a projected Democratic margin of 56.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New York 5th District House election features Democrat Gregory Meeks and Republican George Marsh. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks is seeking reelection to a fifteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 5th congressional district by 35.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.