New York 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New York 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New York 7th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Claire Valdez a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Melvin Rivera. Pollsmax projects Valdez to receive 80.3% of the vote compared with 19.7% for Rivera, a projected Democratic margin of 60.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New York 7th District House election features Democrat Claire Valdez and Republican Melvin Rivera. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 7th congressional district by 36.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.