
Claire Valdez
DEMOCRATIC
New York State Assembly (D)
2025 – Present

New York7th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Melvin Rivera
REPUBLICAN
2026 New York 7th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New York's 7th congressional district House election between Democrat Claire Valdez and Republican Melvin Rivera. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New York 7th District House election features Democrat Claire Valdez and Republican Melvin Rivera. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 7th congressional district by 36.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NY-7
- Democratic candidate
- Claire Valdez
- Republican candidate
- Melvin Rivera
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.1% D / 30.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.1
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —