Claire Valdez, 2026 New York 7th District House Democratic candidate
Claire Valdez
DEMOCRATIC
New York State Assembly (D)
2025 – Present
New York state flag

New York7th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Melvin Rivera, 2026 New York 7th District House Republican candidate
Melvin Rivera
REPUBLICAN

2026 New York 7th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for New York's 7th congressional district House election between Democrat Claire Valdez and Republican Melvin Rivera. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 New York 7th District House election features Democrat Claire Valdez and Republican Melvin Rivera. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 7th congressional district by 36.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
NY-7
Democratic candidate
Claire Valdez
Republican candidate
Melvin Rivera
Incumbent / open seat
Open seat
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
70.1% D / 30.0% R
Projected margin
D +40.1
Forecast odds
99.9% D / 0.1% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll