
Hakeem Jeffries*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-NY)
2013 – Present

New York8th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Lewis Mizrahi
REPUBLICAN
Data Analyst
2026 New York 8th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New York's 8th congressional district House election between Democrat Hakeem Jeffries and Republican Lewis Mizrahi. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 New York 8th District House election features Democrat Hakeem Jeffries and Republican Lewis Mizrahi. Incumbent Representative Hakeem Jeffries is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 8th congressional district by 34.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NY-8
- Democratic candidate
- Hakeem Jeffries
- Republican candidate
- Lewis Mizrahi
- Incumbent / open seat
- Hakeem Jeffries
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.1% D / 29.9% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.2
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —