New York 82026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 New York 8th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 New York 8th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Hakeem Jeffries a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Lewis Mizrahi. Pollsmax projects Jeffries to receive 77.9% of the vote compared with 22.2% for Mizrahi, a projected Democratic margin of 55.7 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 New York 8th District House election features Democrat Hakeem Jeffries and Republican Lewis Mizrahi. Incumbent Representative Hakeem Jeffries is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York's 8th congressional district by 34.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.