North Carolina 102026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 10th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 10th District House forecast currently gives Republican Pat Harrigan a 99% chance of defeating Democrat Ashley Bell. Pollsmax projects Harrigan to receive 57.6% of the vote compared with 42.4% for Bell, a projected Republican margin of 15.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 10th District House election features Democrat Ashley Bell and Republican Pat Harrigan. Incumbent Representative Pat Harrigan is seeking reelection to a second term. This race is rated as solid Republican. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.