North Carolina12th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 North Carolina 12th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for North Carolina's 12th congressional district House election between Democrat Alma Adams and Republican Jack Codiga. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 North Carolina 12th District House election features Democrat Alma Adams and Republican Jack Codiga. Incumbent Representative Alma Adams is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won North Carolina's 12th congressional district by 16.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NC-12
- Democratic candidate
- Alma Adams
- Republican candidate
- Jack Codiga
- Incumbent / open seat
- Alma Adams
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.1% D / 30.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.1
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —