North Carolina 122026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 12th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 12th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Alma Adams a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Jack Codiga. Pollsmax projects Adams to receive 78% of the vote compared with 22% for Codiga, a projected Democratic margin of 56 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 12th District House election features Democrat Alma Adams and Republican Jack Codiga. Incumbent Representative Alma Adams is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won North Carolina's 12th congressional district by 16.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.