North Carolina 132026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 13th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 13th District House forecast currently gives Republican Brad Knott a 88.9% chance of defeating Democrat Paul Barringer. Pollsmax projects Knott to receive 55.2% of the vote compared with 44.9% for Barringer, a projected Republican margin of 10.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 13th District House election features Democrat Paul Barringer and Republican Brad Knott. Incumbent Representative Brad Knott is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won North Carolina's 13th congressional district by 7.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.