North Carolina14th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 North Carolina 14th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for North Carolina's 14th congressional district House election between Democrat LaKesha Womack and Republican Tim Moore. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 North Carolina 14th District House election features Democrat LaKesha Womack and Republican Tim Moore. Incumbent Representative Tim Moore is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won North Carolina's 14th congressional district by 2.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NC-14
- Democratic candidate
- LaKesha Womack
- Republican candidate
- Tim Moore
- Incumbent / open seat
- Tim Moore
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 45.2% D / 54.9% R
- Projected margin
- R +9.7
- Forecast odds
- 13.6% D / 86.4% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —