

North Carolina 142026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 14th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 14th District House forecast currently gives Republican Tim Moore a 86.8% chance of defeating Democrat LaKesha Womack. Pollsmax projects Moore to receive 54.8% of the vote compared with 45.2% for Womack, a projected Republican margin of 9.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 North Carolina 14th District House election features Democrat LaKesha Womack and Republican Tim Moore. Incumbent Representative Tim Moore is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won North Carolina's 14th congressional district by 2.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NC-14
- Democratic candidate
- LaKesha Womack
- Republican candidate
- Tim Moore
- Incumbent / open seat
- Tim Moore
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 45.2% D / 54.8% R
- Projected margin
- R +9.6
- Forecast odds
- 13.2% D / 86.8% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- 42.0% D / 46.0% R
- Polling average margin
- R +4.0
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on March 12, 2026
- Polls included
- 1
- Latest poll
- Ragnar Research Partners (R) — March 12, 2026