North Carolina2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 North Carolina 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for North Carolina's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Deborah Ross and Republican Gene Douglass. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 North Carolina 2nd District House election features Democrat Deborah Ross and Republican Gene Douglass. Incumbent Representative Deborah Ross is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won North Carolina's 2nd congressional district by 8.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NC-2
- Democratic candidate
- Deborah Ross
- Republican candidate
- Gene Douglass
- Incumbent / open seat
- Deborah Ross
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 66.0% D / 34.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +32.0
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —