North Carolina 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 2nd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Deborah Ross a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Gene Douglass. Pollsmax projects Ross to receive 66.1% of the vote compared with 34% for Douglass, a projected Democratic margin of 32.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 2nd District House election features Democrat Deborah Ross and Republican Gene Douglass. Incumbent Representative Deborah Ross is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won North Carolina's 2nd congressional district by 8.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.