North Carolina 42026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 4th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 4th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Valerie Foushee a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Max Ganorkar. Pollsmax projects Foushee to receive 77.9% of the vote compared with 22.1% for Ganorkar, a projected Democratic margin of 55.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 4th District House election features Democrat Valerie Foushee and Republican Max Ganorkar. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won North Carolina's 4th congressional district by 15.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.