North Carolina4th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 North Carolina 4th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for North Carolina's 4th congressional district House election between Democrat Valerie Foushee and Republican Max Ganorkar. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 North Carolina 4th District House election features Democrat Valerie Foushee and Republican Max Ganorkar. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won North Carolina's 4th congressional district by 15.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NC-4
- Democratic candidate
- Valerie Foushee
- Republican candidate
- Max Ganorkar
- Incumbent / open seat
- Valerie Foushee
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.0% D / 30.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.0
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —