North Carolina 42026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 4th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 4th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Valerie Foushee a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Max Ganorkar. Pollsmax projects Foushee to receive 75.5% of the vote compared with 24.5% for Ganorkar, a projected Democratic margin of 51 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 4th District House election features Democrat Valerie Foushee and Republican Max Ganorkar. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee is seeking reelection to a third term. This race is rated as solid Democratic. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.