North Carolina 52026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 5th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 5th District House forecast currently gives Republican Virginia Foxx a 97.2% chance of defeating Democrat Chuck Hubbard. Pollsmax projects Foxx to receive 59.5% of the vote compared with 40.5% for Hubbard, a projected Republican margin of 19 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 5th District House election features Democrat Chuck Hubbard and Republican Virginia Foxx. Incumbent Representative Virginia Foxx is seeking reelection to a twelfth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won North Carolina's 5th congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.