North Carolina 62026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 6th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 6th District House forecast currently gives Republican Addison McDowell a 97.2% chance of defeating Democrat Cyril Jefferson. Pollsmax projects McDowell to receive 59.3% of the vote compared with 40.7% for Jefferson, a projected Republican margin of 18.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 6th District House election features Democrat Cyril Jefferson and Republican Addison McDowell. Incumbent Representative Addison McDowell is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won North Carolina's 6th congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.