North Carolina 62026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 6th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 6th District House forecast currently gives Republican Addison McDowell a 98.6% chance of defeating Democrat Cyril Jefferson. Pollsmax projects McDowell to receive 57.5% of the vote compared with 42.6% for Jefferson, a projected Republican margin of 14.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 6th District House election features Democrat Cyril Jefferson and Republican Addison McDowell. Incumbent Representative Addison McDowell is seeking reelection to a second term. This race is rated as solid Republican. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.