North Carolina7th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 North Carolina 7th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for North Carolina's 7th congressional district House election between Democrat Kim Hardy and Republican David Rouzer. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 North Carolina 7th District House election features Democrat Kim Hardy and Republican David Rouzer. Incumbent Representative David Rouzer is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won North Carolina's 7th congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NC-7
- Democratic candidate
- Kim Hardy
- Republican candidate
- David Rouzer
- Incumbent / open seat
- David Rouzer
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 44.4% D / 55.6% R
- Projected margin
- R +11.2
- Forecast odds
- 10.3% D / 89.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —