Kim Hardy, 2026 North Carolina 7th District House Democratic candidate
Kim Hardy
DEMOCRATIC
Assistant Professor
North Carolina state flag

North Carolina 72026 HOUSE POLLS

David Rouzer, 2026 North Carolina 7th District House Republican candidate
David Rouzer*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-NC)
2015 – Present

2026 North Carolina 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 7th District House forecast currently gives Republican David Rouzer a 92.9% chance of defeating Democrat Kim Hardy. Pollsmax projects Rouzer to receive 54.6% of the vote compared with 45.5% for Hardy, a projected Republican margin of 9.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 7th District House election features Democrat Kim Hardy and Republican David Rouzer. Incumbent Representative David Rouzer is seeking reelection to a seventh term. This race is rated as likely Republican. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
NC-7
Democratic candidate
Kim Hardy
Republican candidate
David Rouzer
Incumbent / open seat
David Rouzer
Forecast rating
Likely R
Projected vote
45.5% D / 54.6% R
Projected margin
R +9.1
Forecast odds
7.1% D / 92.9% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on November 3, 2026
Polling average
42.5% D / 49.5% R
Polling average margin
R +7.0
Polling last updated
12:00 AM on August 20, 2026
Polls included
1
Latest poll
Public Policy Polling (D) — August 20, 2026