North Carolina 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 7th District House forecast currently gives Republican David Rouzer a 89.5% chance of defeating Democrat Kim Hardy. Pollsmax projects Rouzer to receive 55.5% of the vote compared with 44.6% for Hardy, a projected Republican margin of 10.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 7th District House election features Democrat Kim Hardy and Republican David Rouzer. Incumbent Representative David Rouzer is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won North Carolina's 7th congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.