

North Carolina 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 7th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 7th District House forecast currently gives Republican David Rouzer a 92.9% chance of defeating Democrat Kim Hardy. Pollsmax projects Rouzer to receive 54.6% of the vote compared with 45.5% for Hardy, a projected Republican margin of 9.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 North Carolina 7th District House election features Democrat Kim Hardy and Republican David Rouzer. Incumbent Representative David Rouzer is seeking reelection to a seventh term. This race is rated as likely Republican. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NC-7
- Democratic candidate
- Kim Hardy
- Republican candidate
- David Rouzer
- Incumbent / open seat
- David Rouzer
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 45.5% D / 54.6% R
- Projected margin
- R +9.1
- Forecast odds
- 7.1% D / 92.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on November 3, 2026
- Polling average
- 42.5% D / 49.5% R
- Polling average margin
- R +7.0
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on August 20, 2026
- Polls included
- 1
- Latest poll
- Public Policy Polling (D) — August 20, 2026