North Carolina 82026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 8th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 8th District House forecast currently gives Republican Mark Harris a 96.5% chance of defeating Democrat Colby Watson. Pollsmax projects Harris to receive 59.1% of the vote compared with 40.9% for Watson, a projected Republican margin of 18.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 8th District House election features Democrat Colby Watson and Republican Mark Harris. Incumbent Representative Mark Harris is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won North Carolina's 8th congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.