

North Carolina 92026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 9th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 9th District House forecast currently gives Republican Richard Hudson a 91.6% chance of defeating Democrat Richard Ojeda. Pollsmax projects Hudson to receive 54.3% of the vote compared with 45.7% for Ojeda, a projected Republican margin of 8.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 North Carolina 9th District House election features Democrat Richard Ojeda and Republican Richard Hudson. Incumbent Representative Richard Hudson is seeking reelection to a eighth term. This race is rated as likely Republican. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NC-9
- Democratic candidate
- Richard Ojeda
- Republican candidate
- Richard Hudson
- Incumbent / open seat
- Richard Hudson
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 45.7% D / 54.3% R
- Projected margin
- R +8.6
- Forecast odds
- 8.4% D / 91.6% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on November 3, 2026
- Polling average
- 41.3% D / 46.7% R
- Polling average margin
- R +5.5
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on October 20, 2026
- Polls included
- 2
- Latest poll
- Public Policy Polling (D) — October 20, 2026