North Carolina9th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 North Carolina 9th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for North Carolina's 9th congressional district House election between Democrat Richard Ojeda and Republican Richard Hudson. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 North Carolina 9th District House election features Democrat Richard Ojeda and Republican Richard Hudson. Incumbent Representative Richard Hudson is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won North Carolina's 9th congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- NC-9
- Democratic candidate
- Richard Ojeda
- Republican candidate
- Richard Hudson
- Incumbent / open seat
- Richard Hudson
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 44.5% D / 55.5% R
- Projected margin
- R +11.0
- Forecast odds
- 10.1% D / 89.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —