North Carolina 92026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 North Carolina 9th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 North Carolina 9th District House forecast currently gives Republican Richard Hudson a 88.8% chance of defeating Democrat Richard Ojeda. Pollsmax projects Hudson to receive 55.2% of the vote compared with 44.8% for Ojeda, a projected Republican margin of 10.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 North Carolina 9th District House election features Democrat Richard Ojeda and Republican Richard Hudson. Incumbent Representative Richard Hudson is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won North Carolina's 9th congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026. North Carolina conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.