Ohio 12026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Ohio 1st District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Ohio 1st District House forecast currently gives Democrat Greg Landsman a 87.4% chance of defeating Republican Eric Conroy. Pollsmax projects Landsman to receive 55% of the vote compared with 45% for Conroy, a projected Democratic margin of 10 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Ohio 1st District House election features Democrat Greg Landsman and Republican Eric Conroy. Incumbent Representative Greg Landsman is seeking reelection to a third term. This race is rated as likely Democratic. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.