Ohio10th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Ohio 10th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Ohio's 10th congressional district House election between Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker and Republican Mike Turner. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Ohio 10th District House election features Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker and Republican Mike Turner. Incumbent Representative Mike Turner is seeking reelection to a thirteenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Ohio's 10th congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- OH-10
- Democratic candidate
- Kristina Knickerbocker
- Republican candidate
- Mike Turner
- Incumbent / open seat
- Mike Turner
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 45.0% D / 55.1% R
- Projected margin
- R +10.1
- Forecast odds
- 12.1% D / 87.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —