Ohio 102026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Ohio 10th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Ohio 10th District House forecast currently gives Republican Mike Turner a 88% chance of defeating Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker. Pollsmax projects Turner to receive 55.1% of the vote compared with 44.9% for Knickerbocker, a projected Republican margin of 10.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Ohio 10th District House election features Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker and Republican Mike Turner. Incumbent Representative Mike Turner is seeking reelection to a thirteenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Ohio's 10th congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.