Ohio 112026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Ohio 11th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Ohio 11th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Shontel Brown a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Mike Kirchner. Pollsmax projects Brown to receive 84.7% of the vote compared with 15.3% for Kirchner, a projected Democratic margin of 69.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Ohio 11th District House election features Democrat Shontel Brown and Republican Mike Kirchner. Incumbent Representative Shontel Brown is seeking reelection to a fourth term. This race is rated as solid Democratic. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.