Ohio11th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 Ohio 11th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Ohio's 11th congressional district House election between Democrat Shontel Brown and Republican Mike Kirchner. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Ohio 11th District House election features Democrat Shontel Brown and Republican Mike Kirchner. Incumbent Representative Shontel Brown is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Ohio's 11th congressional district by 30.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.