

Ohio13th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 Ohio 13th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Ohio's 13th congressional district House election between Democrat Emilia Sykes and Republican Carey Coleman. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Ohio 13th District House election features Democrat Emilia Sykes and Republican Carey Coleman. Incumbent Representative Emilia Sykes is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Ohio's 13th congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- OH-13
- Democratic candidate
- Emilia Sykes
- Republican candidate
- Carey Coleman
- Incumbent / open seat
- Emilia Sykes
- Forecast rating
- Likely D
- Projected vote
- 56.7% D / 43.4% R
- Projected margin
- D +13.3
- Forecast odds
- 92.1% D / 7.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —