

Ohio 132026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Ohio 13th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Ohio 13th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Emilia Sykes a 92.3% chance of defeating Republican Carey Coleman. Pollsmax projects Sykes to receive 56.7% of the vote compared with 43.3% for Coleman, a projected Democratic margin of 13.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Ohio 13th District House election features Democrat Emilia Sykes and Republican Carey Coleman. Incumbent Representative Emilia Sykes is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Ohio's 13th congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- OH-13
- Democratic candidate
- Emilia Sykes
- Republican candidate
- Carey Coleman
- Incumbent / open seat
- Emilia Sykes
- Forecast rating
- Likely D
- Projected vote
- 56.7% D / 43.3% R
- Projected margin
- D +13.4
- Forecast odds
- 92.3% D / 7.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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