Ohio 142026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Ohio 14th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Ohio 14th District House forecast currently gives Republican David Joyce a 96.2% chance of defeating Democrat Maria Jukic. Pollsmax projects Joyce to receive 58.7% of the vote compared with 41.4% for Jukic, a projected Republican margin of 17.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Ohio 14th District House election features Democrat Maria Jukic and Republican David Joyce. Incumbent Representative David Joyce is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Ohio's 14th congressional district by 6.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.