Ohio14th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Ohio 14th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Ohio's 14th congressional district House election between Democrat Maria Jukic and Republican David Joyce. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Ohio 14th District House election features Democrat Maria Jukic and Republican David Joyce. Incumbent Representative David Joyce is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Ohio's 14th congressional district by 6.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- OH-14
- Democratic candidate
- Maria Jukic
- Republican candidate
- David Joyce
- Incumbent / open seat
- David Joyce
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 41.3% D / 58.7% R
- Projected margin
- R +17.4
- Forecast odds
- 3.8% D / 96.2% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —