Ohio 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Ohio 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Ohio 3rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Joyce Beatty a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Cleophus Dulaney. Pollsmax projects Beatty to receive 69.8% of the vote compared with 30.2% for Dulaney, a projected Democratic margin of 39.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Ohio 3rd District House election features Democrat Joyce Beatty and Republican Cleophus Dulaney. Incumbent Representative Joyce Beatty is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Ohio's 3rd congressional district by 17.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.