

Ohio3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 Ohio 3rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Ohio's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Joyce Beatty and Republican Cleophus Dulaney. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Ohio 3rd District House election features Democrat Joyce Beatty and Republican Cleophus Dulaney. Incumbent Representative Joyce Beatty is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Ohio's 3rd congressional district by 17.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- OH-3
- Democratic candidate
- Joyce Beatty
- Republican candidate
- Cleophus Dulaney
- Incumbent / open seat
- Joyce Beatty
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.0% D / 30.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +39.9
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —