Ohio 52026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Ohio 5th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Ohio 5th District House forecast currently gives Republican Bob Latta a 97.1% chance of defeating Democrat Brian Shaver. Pollsmax projects Latta to receive 59.7% of the vote compared with 40.4% for Shaver, a projected Republican margin of 19.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Ohio 5th District House election features Democrat Brian Shaver and Republican Bob Latta. Incumbent Representative Bob Latta is seeking reelection to a eleventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Ohio's 5th congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.