Ohio 52026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Ohio 5th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Ohio 5th District House forecast currently gives Republican Bob Latta a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Brian Shaver. Pollsmax projects Latta to receive 60.1% of the vote compared with 39.9% for Shaver, a projected Republican margin of 20.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Ohio 5th District House election features Democrat Brian Shaver and Republican Bob Latta. Incumbent Representative Bob Latta is seeking reelection to a eleventh term. This race is rated as solid Republican. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.