Ohio6th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Ohio 6th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Ohio's 6th congressional district House election between Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley and Republican Michael Rulli. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Ohio 6th District House election features Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley and Republican Michael Rulli. Incumbent Representative Michael Rulli is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Ohio's 6th congressional district by 17.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- OH-6
- Democratic candidate
- Elizabeth Kirtley
- Republican candidate
- Michael Rulli
- Incumbent / open seat
- Michael Rulli
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 36.2% D / 63.8% R
- Projected margin
- R +27.6
- Forecast odds
- 0.5% D / 99.5% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —