Ohio 62026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Ohio 6th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Ohio 6th District House forecast currently gives Republican Michael Rulli a 99.5% chance of defeating Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley. Pollsmax projects Rulli to receive 63.8% of the vote compared with 36.3% for Kirtley, a projected Republican margin of 27.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Ohio 6th District House election features Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley and Republican Michael Rulli. Incumbent Representative Michael Rulli is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Ohio's 6th congressional district by 17.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.