Ohio 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Ohio 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Ohio 7th District House forecast currently gives Republican Max Miller a 66.5% chance of defeating Democrat Brian Poindexter. Pollsmax projects Miller to receive 50.6% of the vote compared with 49.4% for Poindexter, a projected Republican margin of 1.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Lean Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Ohio 7th District House election features Democrat Brian Poindexter and Republican Max Miller. Incumbent Representative Max Miller is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Ohio's 7th congressional district by 13.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as lean Republican in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Ohio seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Ohio's 7th District will be important in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.