

Ohio 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Ohio 7th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Ohio 7th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Brian Poindexter a 58.3% chance of defeating Republican Max Miller. Pollsmax projects Poindexter to receive 50.7% of the vote compared with 49.3% for Miller, a projected Democratic margin of 1.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Tilt Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Ohio 7th District House election features Democrat Brian Poindexter and Republican Max Miller. Incumbent Representative Max Miller is seeking reelection to a third term. This race is rated as tilt Democratic. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Ohio seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Ohio's 7th District will be critical in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- OH-7
- Democratic candidate
- Brian Poindexter
- Republican candidate
- Max Miller
- Incumbent / open seat
- Max Miller
- Forecast rating
- Tilt D
- Projected vote
- 50.7% D / 49.3% R
- Projected margin
- D +1.4
- Forecast odds
- 58.3% D / 41.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on November 3, 2026
- Polling average
- 46.7% D / 38.3% R
- Polling average margin
- D +8.4
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on August 10, 2026
- Polls included
- 5
- Latest poll
- Bedrock Polling (D) — August 10, 2026